VALUATION · SAAS · 8 MIN READ

SaaS valuation multiples in 2026

The median EV/Revenue multiple for private SaaS deals fell from 6.3x in 2021 to 3.1x in March 2026. Yet deal volume is at a record high. What does that mean for an owner considering a sale?

Valuing a SaaS company often starts with a seemingly simple question: what revenue multiple does the market apply today? In 2026, the answer is far less obvious than it was a few years ago. The era of very high multiples from 2020–2021 has passed, but the gap between average and top-tier companies remains very wide.

Available M&A market data show the median EV/Revenue for private SaaS deals fell from around 6.3x in 2021 to 3.1x in March 2026. Those are useful benchmarks – not a ready-made answer to what a specific company is worth.

Multiples fell, but the market stayed active

Q2 2026 saw 698 SaaS deals, versus 637 a year earlier. Over the trailing twelve months, deal count reached 2,784 – the highest level recorded by Software Equity Group.

What has changed is buyer behaviour. Capital is more selective, and valuation premiums increasingly go to companies that combine growth with durable competitive advantages, valuable data, and a credible AI strategy.

CHART 1
Private SaaS deals – median EV/Revenue
6.3x
3.3x
2.9x
3.8x
3.1x
2021
2023
2024
2025
Q1 2026
Source: Aventis Advisors / Mergermarket. Data through March 2026.

A 3x revenue multiple doesn’t automatically mean a 3x-revenue value

Say a SaaS company generates PLN 20m in annual revenue. Mechanically applying a 3.1x multiple would give PLN 62m of Enterprise Value. That can be a useful reference point – but it isn’t a valuation.

Two companies with identical revenue can fetch very different prices in a sale process. A company growing 30% a year, with a high share of recurring revenue, low churn and a diversified client base, presents a very different risk profile to an investor than a business growing a few percent, dependent on a handful of clients and the owner’s day-to-day involvement.

A multiple is the outcome of a judgment about business quality, not just a function of revenue.

What raises the valuation multiple?

In practice, a few groups of factors matter most.

01

Growth – but not all growth is equal

Growth bought with very high CAC, weak retention or sustained cash burn is assessed differently to growth driven by an efficient, repeatable sales model.

02

Revenue predictability

ARR/MRR share, churn, Net Revenue Retention, contract length, customer concentration. The more predictable future cash flows are, the lower the risk an investor perceives.

03

Profitability

In early 2026, the median company in the SaaS Capital Index posted a positive operating margin for the first time in over a decade – around 3%, versus around −21% in mid-2022. The sector has clearly turned toward efficiency.

Company size affects the multiple

This is one of the factors most often overlooked in DIY valuations. Larger companies are typically more diversified, less dependent on individual clients or people, and can attract a wider pool of strategic and private equity investors.

CHART 2
Deal size and the median EV/Revenue
$5–20m

3.2x

$20–50m

3.1x

$50–100m

6.3x

$100–500m

5.4x

Source: Aventis Advisors / Mergermarket. Medians by deal value bracket.

An owner with a few million euros of revenue should therefore treat multiples seen in deals worth hundreds of millions with real caution.

What this means for a company with €2–12m in revenue

The data above describe deals worth tens or hundreds of millions of dollars. A company with roughly €2–12m in revenue sits below that bracket, so benchmarks shouldn’t be applied directly – the realistic starting point usually sits closer to the lower values, and the premium from the top brackets reflects a scale this company simply doesn’t have yet.

That doesn’t mean a smaller company is stuck at the bottom of the table, though. In the processes we run, what actually moves the number is what global datasets don’t show: how much revenue sits with one client, how the team is set up, whether IP and data rights are in order, whether the business can run without the owner, and whether more than one buyer was ever brought to the table.

For an owner, that implies a simple order of operations: fix those areas first, then talk about valuation – not the other way round.

The public market isn’t a simple benchmark

Listed SaaS companies are typically far larger, more liquid and more diversified than the private companies whose owners are considering a sale. Even so, public market behaviour illustrates the shift in investor sentiment well.

CHART 3
Public SaaS – median EV/TTM Revenue
5.7x
5.3x
4.9x
3.7x
3.2x
Q2’25
Q3’25
Q4’25
Q1’26
Q2’26
Source: Software Equity Group SaaS Index (106 B2B software companies).

Differences between segments remain large. In Q2 2026, medians included 5.3x for DevOps & IT Management, 4.6x for ERP & Supply Chain, 4.3x for Security, and 3.4x for Financial Applications. There is no single universal “SaaS multiple.”

AI has become part of the valuation

Public SaaS valuations have come under pressure partly because the market has started pricing in the risk that new AI solutions could replace parts of existing products. For an owner, the key question isn’t “do we use AI?” but:

Does AI progress increase the value of our product, or lower the cost of replacing it?

A product deeply embedded in a customer’s processes, built on unique data, with a high switching cost, can remain a very attractive asset. A simple “AI wrapper” offers no such protection.

A strategic investor may pay more – but not always

The transaction price need not equal the theoretical value implied by a multiple. A specific investor may see synergies in the acquisition that other buyers don’t: access to customers, entry into a new geography, cross-selling, or acquiring technology or data.

That’s why a sale process shouldn’t start with the statement “our company is worth 4x revenue.” A better question is: who might find this business especially valuable, and why?

What to assess before talking value

Market multiples are best treated as a benchmark for a reasonable range – not a calculator.

  • Revenue scale and ARR
  • Churn and Net Revenue Retention
  • Growth rate
  • Gross margin
  • EBITDA and cash flow
  • Customer concentration
  • Share of recurring revenue
  • Product scalability
  • Contract length
  • Competitive position
  • Owner dependence
  • Value of technology and data

The market hasn’t disappeared. It’s become more selective

Multiples are lower, investors more demanding, and simply having a subscription model no longer earns a premium on its own. At the same time, deal volume remains very high, and the most attractive assets can still command valuations well above market medians.

“What’s the SaaS multiple right now?” is a good starting question. But for an owner, the more important one is: what multiple can my business justify – and which investors might be willing to pay it?

METHODOLOGY AND SOURCES

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a company valuation or investment recommendation. Data from Aventis Advisors, Mergermarket and Software Equity Group. Sources use different samples, study periods and methodologies – the figures shown should not be compared mechanically or applied directly to a specific company’s valuation.

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